This week’s Women’s World Tour event (July 11-17) in Cote des Basques, Biarritz, France, could literally be the victory for current tour leader Carissa Moore. It’s now down to the last two events of the series, but it is this week’s Roxy Pro, which is event #6 of the 7 total events, that may decide the world-championship crown.

At this time, Carissa Moore (HAW) leads in the ratings with 47,000 total points, but Sally Fitzgibbons (AUS) is not far behind with 41,650 points. That means if Carissa falters this week, the title will be decided at the final Women’s World Tour event at Huntington Beach, CA next month (August 1-6).

The two leaders have always had an intense rivalry. The two have met each other in the Finals three times so far, and Sally has won over Carissa on two of those occasions. Total event win tally this season: Carissa: 3, Sally: 2.

So it now comes down to the final two events, events that, ironically, also belong to the sponsors of the two world title contenders, since Sally is sponsored by Roxy and Carissa by Nike.

Surfer Magazine clearly breaks down the possible outcomes:

If Carissa gets 1st in France, she clinches the World Title.

If Carissa gets 2nd in France, Sally needs to win to still be in the running; If Sally gets 3rd or less it’s over.

If Carissa gets 3rd in France, Sally needs to win to still be in the running; If Sally gets 2nd or less it’s over.

If Carissa gets 5th in France, Sally needs a 2nd or better to still be in the running.

If Carissa gets 9th in France, the title decision goes to the US Open.

It should be an exciting week. Good luck to our top women surfers!